↓$11.75B leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↓$11.75B | 82% | +23% | $60 |
| 2 | ↑$12.5B | 74% | +34% | $141 |
| 3 | ↑$13B | 56% | +80% | $2K |
| 4 | ↓$11.25B | 50% | +98% | $2K |
| 5 | ↑$13.5B | 48% | +111% | $6K |
| 6 | ↓$10.5B | 24% | +326% | $782 |
| 7 | ↑$14B | 14% | +614% | $831 |
| 8 | ↓$9.5B | 12% | +700% | $2K |
| 9 | ↑$15B BEST VALUE | 10% | +852% | $1K |
| 10 | ↑$17.5B | 4% | +2122% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Epic Games' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and July 31, 2...
This prediction market tracks whether Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by July 31? will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
Traders lean toward ↓$11.75B at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 01, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓$11.75B at 82% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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