December 31 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
High Volume — $1.2M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 | 80% | +24% | $28K |
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” I...
This prediction market tracks whether Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...? will occur, with $1.2M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.
Traders lean toward December 31 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
The market has seen $19K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 19, 2026 at 04:25 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 80% probability, with $1.2M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.2M, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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