This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market. An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 | 32% | - |
| 2 | June 30 | 16% | $13K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 22:00 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 32% probability, with $998K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $998K, with $30K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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