Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?

Ends Jan 01, 2027 · Volume: $113K · 24h: $13K · Updated Oct 26, 2026 at 20:45 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

March 31, 2027 leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

⚡ Active 24h volume is 11.5% of total — above-average activity
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 March 31, 2027 70% +43% $9K
2 December 31 BEST VALUE 26% +277% $86K
3 October 31 3% +3746% $19K
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Quick Math — $100 on March 31, 2027
Buy Price
$0.70
If Right
+$42.86
Return
+43%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.475882° N, 37.082566° E in Dobropillia, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...? will occur, with $113K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.

Traders lean toward March 31, 2027 at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

Recent trading volume of $13K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$113K
Liquidity
$32K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...??

As of Oct 26, 2026 at 20:45 UTC, the leading outcome is March 31, 2027 at 70% probability, with $113K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

How much money is bet on Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...??

The total trading volume for this market is $113K, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.

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