Crowley 0.4–0.6% leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crowley 0.4–0.6% | 74% | +36% | $3K |
| 2 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Crowley 0.2–0.4% BEST VALUE | 18% | +456% | $5K |
| 4 | Crowley 0.6–0.8% | 4% | +2199% | $5K |
| 5 | Crowley <0.2% | 4% | +2717% | $11K |
| 6 | Crowley 0.8–1% | 2% | +4778% | $6K |
| 7 | Crowley 1–1.2% | 1% | +8596% | $6K |
| 8 | Hong 0.6–0.8% | 1% | +10426% | $694 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin G...
This prediction market tracks whether Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (0.2% Brackets) will occur, with $44K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Crowley 0.4–0.6% at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $44K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 12, 2026 at 10:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Crowley 0.4–0.6% at 74% probability, with $44K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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