Spread -1.5 leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -1.5 | 78% | +29% | - |
| 2 | O/U 178.5 | 52% | +94% | - |
| 3 | Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 4 | Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Spread -9.5 | 49% | +104% | $154 |
| 6 | Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 7 | Pauline Astier: Assists O/U 2.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 8 | O/U 179.5 | 48% | +106% | $2 |
| 9 | O/U 183.5 | 38% | +160% | $48 |
| 10 | Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 35% | +186% | - |
| 11 | Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 21.5 | 34% | +194% | - |
| 12 | Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% | +208% | - |
| 13 | Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 19.5 | 31% | +223% | - |
| 14 | Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5 | 30% | +233% | - |
| 15 | Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 30% | +239% | - |
| 16 | Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% | +264% | - |
| 17 | Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 24% | +326% | $292 |
| 18 | Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty | 22% | +344% | $16K |
| 19 | Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.5 | 22% | +365% | $2 |
| 20 | Jackie Young: Points O/U 18.5 BEST VALUE | 21% | +376% | $183 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 9 at 12:30PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New Yo...
This prediction market tracks whether Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Spread -1.5 at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 09, 2026 at 03:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Spread -1.5 at 78% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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