Market is split — New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury at 57%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury | 57% | +74% | $5K |
| 2 | O/U 174.5 | 57% | +74% | $2K |
| 3 | O/U 175.5 | 54% | +87% | $5K |
| 4 | O/U 176.5 | 52% | +90% | $3K |
| 5 | Spread -2.5 | 50% | +102% | $849 |
| 6 | Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 21.5 | 34% | +194% | - |
| 7 | Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% | +199% | - |
| 8 | Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 32% | +217% | - |
| 9 | Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5 | 30% | +228% | - |
| 10 | Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 13.5 | 30% | +228% | - |
| 11 | DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% | +233% | $66 |
| 12 | Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 19.5 | 29% | +245% | - |
| 13 | Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 29% | +245% | $76 |
| 14 | Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% | +251% | - |
| 15 | DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 10.5 | 28% | +251% | $8 |
| 16 | Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 | 28% | +257% | $25 |
| 17 | Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% | +270% | $22 |
| 18 | Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 26% | +292% | - |
| 19 | Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 22.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +308% | - |
| 20 | Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% | +308% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 1 at 3:00PM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoe...
This prediction market tracks whether New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury leading at just 57%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 01, 2026 at 09:25 UTC, the leading outcome is New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury at 57% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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