The market strongly favors China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 Winner at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 Winner | 96% | +5% | $18 |
| 2 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech | 82% | +23% | $79K |
| 3 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 Winner | 64% | +56% | - |
| 4 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 62% | +60% | $10 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $480 |
| 6 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $222 |
| 13 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 21.5 | 44% | +130% | $824 |
| 16 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 34% | +190% | $40 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Bartunkova and Magdalena Frech in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bar...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech will occur, with $80K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 Winner is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $80K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 02, 2026 at 10:05 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 Winner at 96% probability, with $80K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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