The market strongly favors Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Set 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $3K |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry | 84% | +18% | $47K |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 58% | +71% | $14 |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Set 2 Winner | 57% | +74% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $11 |
| 10 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Match O/U 22.5 | 42% | +138% | $125 |
| 11 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Match O/U 23.5 | 42% | +141% | - |
| 12 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 41% | +144% | $6 |
| 13 | Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Match O/U 21.5 | 41% | +144% | $263 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Diane Parry in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens...
This prediction market tracks whether Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry will occur, with $50K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $49K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 16, 2026 at 00:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $50K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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