China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter | 84% | +18% | $12K |
| 2 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 Winner | 80% | +24% | - |
| 3 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 1 Winner | 78% | +28% | - |
| 4 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 65% | +54% | $161 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $1K |
| 6 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | $94 |
| 7 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | $7 |
| 9 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Game Spread +/-6.5 | 44% | +127% | $149 |
| 13 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 21.5 | 38% | +163% | - |
| 14 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 22.5 | 28% | +257% | - |
| 15 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 16 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 23.5 BEST VALUE | 26% | +292% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Katie Boulter in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Much...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 02, 2026 at 07:05 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 84% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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