The market strongly favors WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1? at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1? | 94% | +6% | $12K |
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") for the October 1, 2026 trading day is higher than the Close...
This prediction market tracks whether WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1? will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
The market shows strong consensus: WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1? is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 01, 2026 at 17:15 UTC, the leading outcome is WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1? at 94% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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