The market strongly favors Sweden at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden BEST VALUE | 96% | +4% | $3K |
| 2 | Draw (Lithuania vs. Sweden) | 3% | +3674% | $1K |
| 3 | Lithuania | 2% | +6352% | $8K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Lithuania and Sweden.
This prediction market tracks whether Lithuania vs. Sweden will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Sweden is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (93% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 09, 2026 at 13:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Sweden at 96% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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