Market is split — Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? | 56% | +77% | $21K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yabloko is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Russian parliamenta...
This prediction market tracks whether Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (81% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 09, 2026 at 18:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? at 56% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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