Market is split — Person A at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Person A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 2 | Person B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Person C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Person D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Person E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Person F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Person G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Person H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Person I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Person J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Person K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Person L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Person M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Person N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Person O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Person P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Person Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Person R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Person S | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
A by-election for the Prince Edward Island Legislative Assembly District 16 (Cornwall-Meadowbank) is currently scheduled to be held on July 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candida...
This prediction market tracks whether 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Assembly By-Election Winner will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Person A leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 04, 2026 at 16:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Person A at 50% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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