March 31, 2027 leads at 62%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
High Volume — $11.7M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | March 31, 2027 | 62% | +60% | $378K |
| 2 | December 31, 2026 | 44% | +130% | $384K |
| 3 | October 31, 2026 | 30% | +239% | $179K |
| 4 | September 30, 2026 BEST VALUE | 12% | +700% | $1.2M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to contin...
This prediction market tracks whether Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? will occur, with $11.7M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward March 31, 2027 at 62%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
The market has seen $80K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-03-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 21, 2026 at 11:05 UTC, the leading outcome is March 31, 2027 at 62% probability, with $11.7M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $11.7M, with $80K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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