The market strongly favors BN at 91%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BN | 91% | +10% | $11K |
| 2 | Coalition A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Coalition B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Coalition C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Coalition D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Coalition E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Coalition F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Coalition G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Coalition H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Coalition I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Coalition J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Coalition K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Coalition L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Coalition M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Coalition N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Coalition O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Coalition P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Coalition Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Coalition R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
General elections to elect the Johor State Legislative Assembly are scheduled to take place on July 11, 2026. This market will resolve to the political coalition that wins the greatest number of seat...
This prediction market tracks whether 2026 Johor General Election Winner will occur, with $27K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: BN is priced at 91%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (63% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 08, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is BN at 91% probability, with $27K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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