JD Vance leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JD Vance | 64% | +55% | $25K |
| 2 | Person A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Person B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Person C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Other | 11% | +773% | $671 |
| 6 | Gavin Newsom | 9% | +970% | $657 |
| 7 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez BEST VALUE | 8% | +1135% | $1K |
| 8 | Kamala Harris | 3% | +2977% | $765 |
| 9 | Marco Rubio | 3% | +3233% | $581 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the option with the highest hourly odds value in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Candidate" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending...
This prediction market tracks whether 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward JD Vance at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (50% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 30, 2026 at 10:05 UTC, the leading outcome is JD Vance at 64% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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