The market strongly favors Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $293 |
| 2 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $20 |
| 3 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% | +33% | $15 |
| 7 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5 | 75% | +33% | - |
| 8 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 22.5 | 75% | +33% | - |
| 9 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 23.5 | 75% | +33% | - |
| 10 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% | +300% | $68 |
| 12 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% | +300% | $7 |
| 13 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain BEST VALUE | 24% | +308% | $90K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Lucas Poullain in the Roehampton, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts'...
This prediction market tracks whether Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain will occur, with $90K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $90K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 20, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $90K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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