The market strongly favors Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 4 | Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 5 | Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 6 | Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 7 | Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 8 | Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 9 | Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 10 | Completed Match | 54% | +85% | - |
| 11 | Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta BEST VALUE | 45% | +124% | $45K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Spencer Johnson and Tomasz Berkieta in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:10PM ET. This market will resolv...
This prediction market tracks whether Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta will occur, with $45K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $47K traded in the last 24 hours alone (104% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 26, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Sioux Falls: Spencer Johnson vs Tomasz Berkieta Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $45K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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