The market strongly favors Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $12 |
| 2 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 21.5 | 75% | +33% | $198 |
| 4 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | $55 |
| 8 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $17 |
| 9 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 13 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller | 38% | +167% | $244K |
| 14 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 23% | +335% | $80 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kumstat and Marvin Moeller in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan K...
This prediction market tracks whether Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller will occur, with $245K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $247K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-23. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 16, 2026 at 13:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $245K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $245K, with $247K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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