The market strongly favors Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer | 86% | +17% | $15K |
| 2 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 79% | +27% | $15 |
| 3 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 Winner | 78% | +29% | - |
| 4 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 Winner | 76% | +31% | - |
| 5 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 62% | +63% | $125 |
| 6 | Completed Match | 55% | +82% | - |
| 7 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Match O/U 21.5 | 53% | +89% | $1K |
| 8 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Game Spread +/-4.5 | 50% | +102% | $818 |
| 10 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 11 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 12 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 13 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Match O/U 22.5 | 44% | +127% | - |
| 14 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Match O/U 23.5 | 36% | +174% | $5 |
| 15 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 32% | +212% | - |
| 16 | Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 31% | +223% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Lukas Neumayer in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mens...
This prediction market tracks whether Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 26, 2026 at 16:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Lukas Neumayer at 86% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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