The market strongly favors 75,600 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75,600 BEST VALUE | 100% | +0% | $6K |
| 2 | 75,200 | 100% | +0% | $3K |
| 3 | 75,000 | 100% | +0% | $2K |
| 4 | 74,800 | 100% | +0% | $637 |
| 5 | 74,600 | 100% | +0% | $160 |
| 6 | 74,400 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 7 | 74,200 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 8 | 74,000 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 9 | 73,800 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 10 | 73,600 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 11 | 73,400 | 100% | +0% | $15 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise,...
This prediction market tracks whether Bitcoin above ___ on September 16, 3PM ET? will occur, with $32K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.
The market shows strong consensus: 75,600 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $32K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 16, 2026 at 19:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 75,600 at 100% probability, with $32K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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