Market is split — Map 2 Winner at 57%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Winner | 57% | +74% | $3 |
| 2 | Match Winner | 56% | +77% | $69K |
| 3 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% | +100% | $3 |
| 5 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% | +100% | $3 |
| 7 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 1 Winner | 48% | +106% | $3K |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +106% | $1K |
| 11 | Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 32% | +217% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ...
As of May 15, 2026 at 01:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 2 Winner at 57% probability, with $74K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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