Match Winner leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 68% | +46% | $122K |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 64% | +57% | $22 |
| 3 | Map 1 Winner | 60% | +65% | $243 |
| 4 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% | +100% | $3 |
| 6 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% | +100% | $3 |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 Games | 46% | +115% | $144 |
| 11 | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 40% | +147% | $20K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Spirit and G2 in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Sp...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 68% probability, with $143K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $143K, with $107K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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