This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | April 15 | 55% | $88K |
| 2 | March 31 | 2% | $610K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 18:46 UTC, the leading outcome is April 15 at 55% probability, with $894K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $894K, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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