No clear favorite. 160-179 leads at just 30%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 160-179 | 30% | +228% | $4K |
| 2 | 140-159 | 26% | +292% | $5K |
| 3 | 200+ | 26% | +292% | $8K |
| 4 | 180-199 | 18% | +441% | $5K |
| 5 | 120-139 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $5K |
| 6 | 100-119 | 3% | +3126% | $6K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 29, 12:00 PM ET and October 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes o...
This prediction market tracks whether Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026? will occur, with $39K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — 160-179 leads at only 30% across 6 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (36% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 03, 2026 at 14:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 160-179 at 30% probability, with $39K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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