The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $33K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 94% | +6% | $18K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 87% | +15% | $9K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Estar Backs (+1.5) | 87% | +15% | $1K |
| 5 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | O/U 2.5 Games | 13% | +669% | - |
| 19 | Ends in Daytime BEST VALUE | 10% | +900% | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between PlayTime and Estar Backs in the The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 16 a...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: PlayTime vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $62K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $62K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 16, 2026 at 23:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $62K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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