No clear favorite. 160-179 leads at just 20%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $5.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 160-179 | 20% | +413% | $143K |
| 2 | 140-159 | 16% | +506% | $144K |
| 3 | 180-199 | 16% | +543% | $133K |
| 4 | 200-219 | 11% | +805% | $134K |
| 5 | 120-139 | 10% | +953% | $175K |
| 6 | 220-239 | 7% | +1339% | $144K |
| 7 | 240-259 BEST VALUE | 5% | +1880% | $120K |
| 8 | 260-279 | 4% | +2464% | $109K |
| 9 | 280-299 | 3% | +3536% | $133K |
| 10 | 100-119 | 3% | +3674% | $233K |
| 11 | 300-319 | 2% | +6352% | $158K |
| 12 | 320-339 | 1% | +10426% | $181K |
| 13 | 340-359 | 1% | +15285% | $237K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts,...
As of May 14, 2026 at 21:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 160-179 at 20% probability, with $5.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $5.3M, with $1.7M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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