No clear favorite. 140-159 leads at just 18%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.9M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 140-159 | 18% | +471% | $54K |
| 2 | 120-139 | 16% | +506% | $53K |
| 3 | 100-119 | 14% | +641% | $75K |
| 4 | 160-179 | 14% | +641% | $56K |
| 5 | 180-199 | 10% | +852% | $52K |
| 6 | 80-99 | 6% | +1438% | $60K |
| 7 | 200-219 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1553% | $83K |
| 8 | 220-239 | 4% | +2640% | $78K |
| 9 | 240-259 | 3% | +3348% | $50K |
| 10 | 260-279 | 2% | +5305% | $50K |
| 11 | 280-299 | 2% | +5614% | $48K |
| 12 | 300-319 | 1% | +6797% | $55K |
| 13 | 60-79 | 1% | +7900% | $95K |
| 14 | 320-339 | 1% | +9424% | $47K |
| 15 | 340-359 | 1% | +15285% | $71K |
| 16 | 360-379 | 1% | +15285% | $68K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts,...
As of May 14, 2026 at 22:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 140-159 at 18% probability, with $1.9M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.9M, with $1.4M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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