No clear favorite. Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? leads at just 6%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | 6% | +1718% | $557K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this...
This prediction market tracks whether Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? will occur, with $557K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? leads at only 6% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $20K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 09, 2026 at 23:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? at 6% probability, with $557K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $557K, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms