The market strongly favors ↑ $5,000 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $4.9M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↑ $5,000 | 100% | - | $42K |
| 2 | ↓ $5,000 | 100% | - | $3K |
| 3 | ↓ $4,800 | 100% | - | $3K |
| 4 | ↓ $4,600 | 100% | - | $3K |
| 5 | ↓ $4,400 | 100% | - | $2K |
| 6 | ↓ $4,700 | 100% | - | $78K |
| 7 | ↓ $4,600 | 100% | - | $45K |
| 8 | ↓ $4,600 | 80% | +24% | $6 |
| 9 | ↓ $4,500 | 60% | +65% | $31K |
| 10 | ↑ $4,900 | 54% | +85% | $46K |
| 11 | ↑ $4,800 | 44% | +125% | - |
| 12 | ↑ $5,000 | 40% | +147% | $44K |
| 13 | ↓ $4,400 | 40% | +150% | $21K |
| 14 | ↑ $5,100 | 28% | +264% | $30K |
| 15 | ↓ $4,300 | 23% | +335% | $27K |
| 16 | ↑ $5,200 | 18% | +441% | $20K |
| 17 | ↓ $4,200 | 16% | +506% | $300K |
| 18 | ↑ $5,300 | 8% | +1076% | $55K |
| 19 | ↑ $5,400 | 8% | +1076% | $49K |
| 20 | ↑ $5,500 BEST VALUE | 7% | +1299% | $1.3M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final t...
As of May 14, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑ $5,000 at 100% probability, with $4.9M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $4.9M, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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