Bev Craig leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bev Craig | 80% | +24% | $13K |
| 2 | Person B BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Person F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Person I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Person G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Person N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Person S | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Person AA | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Person AB | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Person AD | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Person AJ | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Person AO | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Person C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Person D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Person M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Person P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Person X | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Person Y | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Person Z | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester a...
This prediction market tracks whether Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Bev Craig at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (58% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 22, 2026 at 12:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Bev Craig at 80% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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