Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current Odds
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27°C | 38% | $2K |
| 2 | 28°C | 31% | $2K |
| 3 | 26°C | 24% | $2K |
| 4 | 25°C | 9% | $1K |
| 5 | 29°C | 6% | $1K |
| 6 | 30°C or higher | 2% | $2K |
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FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1??
As of Mar 31, 2026 at 13:20 UTC, the leading outcome is 27°C at 38% probability, with $32K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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