No clear favorite. 325–339 leads at just 34%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 325–339 | 34% | +194% | $19K |
| 2 | 340–354 | 30% | +239% | $13K |
| 3 | 310–324 | 14% | +633% | $7K |
| 4 | 355+ | 9% | +1011% | $24K |
| 5 | 295–309 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1475% | $7K |
| 6 | <280 | 4% | +2226% | $16K |
| 7 | 280–294 | 3% | +3290% | $12K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next R...
This prediction market tracks whether How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election? will occur, with $98K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — 325–339 leads at only 34% across 7 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (24% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 01, 2026 at 14:25 UTC, the leading outcome is 325–339 at 34% probability, with $98K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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