Market is split — 325–339 at 42%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 325–339 | 42% | +141% | $29K |
| 2 | 340–354 | 22% | +365% | $50K |
| 3 | 310–324 | 19% | +439% | $16K |
| 4 | 355+ BEST VALUE | 8% | +1076% | $42K |
| 5 | 295–309 | 4% | +2310% | $12K |
| 6 | <280 | 4% | +2339% | $43K |
| 7 | 280–294 | 2% | +4067% | $18K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next R...
This prediction market tracks whether How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election? will occur, with $211K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with 325–339 leading at just 42%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Recent trading volume of $16K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 24, 2026 at 11:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 325–339 at 42% probability, with $211K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $211K, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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