October 2026 leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | October 2026 | 68% | +48% | $4K |
| 2 | September 2026 | 20% | +400% | $3K |
| 3 | November 2026 BEST VALUE | 9% | +1011% | $1K |
| 4 | No IPO before 2028 | 3% | +2799% | $2K |
| 5 | January 2027 | 2% | +6352% | $830 |
| 6 | December 2026 | 1% | +8596% | $816 |
| 7 | February 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $830 |
| 8 | March 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $869 |
| 9 | April 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $850 |
| 10 | May 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $900 |
| 11 | June 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $1K |
| 12 | July 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $850 |
| 13 | August 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $850 |
| 14 | September 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $850 |
| 15 | October 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $830 |
| 16 | November 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $850 |
| 17 | December 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $850 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on whi...
This prediction market tracks whether In which month will Anthropic IPO? will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
Traders lean toward October 2026 at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 21, 2026 at 04:25 UTC, the leading outcome is October 2026 at 68% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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