November 2026 leads at 63%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | November 2026 | 63% | +58% | $65K |
| 2 | December 2026 BEST VALUE | 22% | +363% | $41K |
| 3 | February 2027 | 3% | +3290% | $8K |
| 4 | January 2027 | 3% | +3746% | $9K |
| 5 | May 2027 | 2% | +3900% | $8K |
| 6 | October 2026 | 2% | +5782% | $83K |
| 7 | No IPO before 2028 | 1% | +7043% | $15K |
| 8 | March 2027 | 1% | +8596% | $9K |
| 9 | April 2027 | 1% | +9424% | $8K |
| 10 | June 2027 | 1% | +12400% | $8K |
| 11 | October 2027 | 1% | +16567% | $7K |
| 12 | July 2027 | 1% | +18082% | $8K |
| 13 | August 2027 | 1% | +18082% | $7K |
| 14 | September 2027 | 1% | +18082% | $7K |
| 15 | November 2027 | 1% | +18082% | $7K |
| 16 | December 2027 | 1% | +18082% | $7K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on whi...
This prediction market tracks whether In which month will Anthropic IPO? will occur, with $339K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
Traders lean toward November 2026 at 63%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
The market has seen $13K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 05, 2026 at 07:05 UTC, the leading outcome is November 2026 at 63% probability, with $339K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $339K, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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