Market is split — May 17 at 60%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 17 | 60% | +68% | $33K |
| 2 | May 16 | 52% | +90% | $40K |
| 3 | May 15 BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | $32K |
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel officially announces another extension of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is May 17 at 60% probability, with $177K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $177K, with $124K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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