The market strongly favors Peng at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $2.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peng | 100% | - | $308K |
| 2 | Ship / Chip | 100% | - | $83K |
| 3 | Iran | 42% | +135% | $255K |
| 4 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | 36% | +174% | $166K |
| 5 | Strait / Hormuz | 36% | +178% | $73K |
| 6 | Tariff | 30% | +239% | $99K |
| 7 | Friend of mine | 28% | +251% | $57K |
| 8 | Rare earth | 24% | +308% | $26K |
| 9 | Nuclear | 22% | +355% | $31K |
| 10 | Soybean | 21% | +376% | $25K |
| 11 | Farmer | 18% | +441% | $10K |
| 12 | Taiwan / Tibet | 17% | +488% | $242K |
| 13 | Tough Negotiator | 16% | +506% | $17K |
| 14 | Japan / Korea | 14% | +641% | $24K |
| 15 | Hong Kong | 14% | +641% | $34K |
| 16 | Hottest | 14% | +641% | $12K |
| 17 | Great Wall | 12% | +733% | $14K |
| 18 | Fentanyl | 12% | +770% | $33K |
| 19 | Tanker | 12% | +770% | $8K |
| 20 | TikTok BEST VALUE | 10% | +900% | $14K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump s...
As of May 14, 2026 at 23:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Peng at 100% probability, with $2.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.0M, with $1.5M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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