No clear favorite. June 30 leads at just 10%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | June 30 | 10% | +900% | $192K |
| 2 | May 31 | 2% | +5456% | $1.1M |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is June 30 at 10% probability, with $1.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.4M, with $189K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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