No clear favorite. 1.1% - 1.2% leads at just 28%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.1% - 1.2% | 28% | +251% | $5K |
| 2 | 0.9% - 1.0% | 26% | +277% | $5K |
| 3 | 0.7% - 0.8% | 26% | +292% | $5K |
| 4 | ≤0.6% BEST VALUE | 10% | +862% | $771 |
| 5 | 1.3%+ | 1% | +6797% | $488 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending July 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve acco...
This prediction market tracks whether July Inflation China - Annual will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.
No clear favorite has emerged — 1.1% - 1.2% leads at only 28% across 5 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (73% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 03, 2026 at 14:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 1.1% - 1.2% at 28% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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