Zoran Janković leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zoran Janković | 70% | +43% | $17K |
| 2 | Person D BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Person E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Person F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Person G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Person H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Person I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Person J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Person K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Person L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Person M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Person N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Person O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Person P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Person Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Person R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Person S | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Person T | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Person U | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Person V | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The next Ljubljana mayoral election is scheduled to be held on November 15, 2026, to elect the mayor of the City Municipality of Ljubljana, Slovenia (župan Mestne občine Ljubljana). If no candidate wi...
This prediction market tracks whether Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner will occur, with $60K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Zoran Janković at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (39% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 21, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Zoran Janković at 70% probability, with $60K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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