Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% | +48% | - |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% | +48% | - |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% | +57% | - |
| 4 | First Blood in Game 1? | 62% | +61% | - |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 60% | +65% | - |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 60% | +68% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% | +89% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +90% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% | +92% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +92% | - |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | $4 |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +106% | $29 |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 48% | +106% | - |
| 16 | Game 2 Winner | 48% | +111% | $4K |
| 17 | Game 1 Winner | 46% | +115% | $2K |
| 18 | Match Winner | 46% | +120% | $12K |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 44% | +125% | - |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 2? BEST VALUE | 36% | +174% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gam...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 21, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 68% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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