The market strongly favors Match Winner at 93%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 93% | +8% | $15K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 88% | +13% | $7K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 88% | +13% | $2K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5) | 85% | +18% | $39K |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | $11 |
| 9 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
| 20 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between NRG Esports and Contingent Esports in the North American Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 5:00...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs will occur, with $72K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 93%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $72K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 21, 2026 at 21:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 93% probability, with $72K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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