The market strongly favors Match Winner at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 86% | +16% | $12K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 74% | +34% | $2K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 74% | +34% | $101 |
| 4 | Game 3 Winner | 74% | +34% | $102 |
| 5 | Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5) | 72% | +39% | $952 |
| 6 | Game 4 Winner | 68% | +47% | $87 |
| 7 | O/U 3.5 Games | 56% | +80% | $3K |
| 8 | First Blood in Game 1? | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 2? | 52% | +92% | - |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 3? | 51% | +96% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 5? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $14 |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | $8 |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | $80 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Seeding match between Team Secret Whales and CTBC Flying Oyster in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve t...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 16, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 86% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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