The market strongly favors $630 at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
Low Liquidity — trade with caution| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $630 | 98% | +3% | $4K |
| 2 | $640 BEST VALUE | 50% | +98% | $5K |
| 3 | $650 | 2% | +5961% | $390 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on November 11, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two spec...
This prediction market tracks whether Meta (META) closes above ___ on November 11? will occur, with $9K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: $630 is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $9K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 11, 2026 at 18:45 UTC, the leading outcome is $630 at 98% probability, with $9K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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