The market strongly favors April 9 at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $4.2M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | April 9 | 98% | +2% | $424K |
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This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian...
As of Apr 10, 2026 at 11:35 UTC, the leading outcome is April 9 at 98% probability, with $4.2M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $4.2M, with $3.1M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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