The market strongly favors December 31 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $100.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 | 100% | - | $4.0M |
| 2 | April 30 | 100% | - | $5.8M |
| 3 | April 15 | 100% | - | $17.5M |
| 4 | June 30 | 100% | - | $5.9M |
| 5 | May 15 | 100% | - | $13.7M |
| 6 | April 7 | 100% | - | $48.7M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market cr...
As of Apr 26, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 100% probability, with $100.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $100.6M, with $60K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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