The market strongly favors Peggy Flanagan at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peggy Flanagan | 86% | +16% | $28K |
| 2 | Angie Craig | 13% | +669% | $26K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resol...
This prediction market tracks whether Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner will occur, with $103K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Peggy Flanagan is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $8K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 04, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Peggy Flanagan at 86% probability, with $103K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $103K, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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