No clear favorite. Modi out by December 31, 2026? leads at just 8%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | 8% | +1225% | $302K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether Modi out by December 31, 2026? will occur, with $302K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Modi out by December 31, 2026? leads at only 8% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $23K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 10, 2026 at 12:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Modi out by December 31, 2026? at 8% probability, with $302K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $302K, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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