No clear favorite. $530 leads at just 10%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $530 BEST VALUE | 10% | +852% | $193 |
| 2 | $540 | 1% | +9424% | $832 |
| 3 | $550 | 1% | +16567% | $21K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on November 11, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two spe...
This prediction market tracks whether Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on November 11? will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — $530 leads at only 10% across 3 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 11, 2026 at 15:45 UTC, the leading outcome is $530 at 10% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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