No clear favorite. Jordan Bardella leads at just 26%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $105.8M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Bardella | 26% | +292% | $1.2M |
| 2 | Édouard Philippe | 18% | +441% | $985K |
| 3 | Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 12% | +770% | $796K |
| 4 | Marine Le Pen BEST VALUE | 8% | +1076% | $860K |
| 5 | Gabriel Attal | 3% | +2799% | $1.7M |
| 6 | Dominique de Villepin | 3% | +2799% | $1.4M |
| 7 | Bruno Retailleau | 3% | +3409% | $1.7M |
| 8 | François Hollande | 3% | +3822% | $1.3M |
| 9 | Raphaël Glucksmann | 2% | +5305% | $1.2M |
| 10 | David Lisnard | 2% | +5961% | $1.4M |
| 11 | Sarah Knafo | 2% | +5961% | $1.6M |
| 12 | Éric Zemmour | 1% | +13233% | $1.7M |
| 13 | Laurent Wauquiez | 1% | +13233% | $3.3M |
| 14 | Sébastien Lecornu | 1% | +13233% | $1.2M |
| 15 | Michel Barnier | 1% | +13233% | $4.9M |
| 16 | Bernard Cazeneuve | 1% | +13233% | $1.7M |
| 17 | Fabien Roussel | 1% | +15285% | $3.5M |
| 18 | François Asselineau | 1% | +15285% | $5.2M |
| 19 | Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 1% | +15285% | $4.3M |
| 20 | Valérie Pécresse | 1% | +15285% | $3.7M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follow...
This prediction market tracks whether Next French Presidential Election will occur, with $105.8M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Jordan Bardella leads at only 26% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $290K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-04-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 29, 2026 at 10:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Jordan Bardella at 26% probability, with $105.8M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $105.8M, with $290K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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