None before 2027 leads at 69%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
High Volume — $2.1M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | None before 2027 | 69% | +45% | $320K |
| 2 | Netanyahu - Israel PM | 14% | +614% | $504K |
| 3 | Sánchez - Spanish PM BEST VALUE | 7% | +1251% | $75K |
| 4 | Lecornu - France PM | 3% | +2885% | $54K |
| 5 | Abbas - President of Palestine | 1% | +9424% | $55K |
| 6 | Merz - German Chancellor | 1% | +15285% | $66K |
| 7 | Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | 1% | +15285% | $63K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the o...
This prediction market tracks whether Next leader out of power before 2027? will occur, with $2.1M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward None before 2027 at 69%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
The market has seen $73K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 30, 2026 at 05:05 UTC, the leading outcome is None before 2027 at 69% probability, with $2.1M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.1M, with $73K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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